2011-05-06

Welsh Assembly Elections Turnout

There has been some discussion of low turnout at the Welsh Assembly elections this time. This spreadsheet (via Google Docs) gives a breakdown of turnout by constituency.

To put the overall figures in context, here are the turnouts since the beginning of the Assembly in 1999:

1999: 46.3%
2003: 38.2%
2007: 43.7%
2011: 42.2%

This shows the turnout as slightly down on the average, but not by as much as some commentators in the media are suggesting. However, the low turnout as compared with UK General Elections (which themselves often see turnouts of fewer than two-thirds of the eligible electorate) remains a serious cause for concern. (The Scottish Parliament turnout was 52.3%.)

The Benefits of Digital Multi-Channel TV

For as long as I have been able to vote, I have stayed up on Election night with a pot of strong coffee to watch the results come trickling in via the TV coverage. (In 1992 I was so discombobulated by the result that I actually broke the coffee pot.)

Before the advent of digital TV this meant choosing between the BBC's usually excellent coverage and ITV's often more patchy offering. Last night's results programmes brought home to me one of the benefits of digital multi-channel TV (in my case via Freeview).

In Wales, BBC1 had Pembrokeshire's own Jamie Owen, who surpassed himself in keeping things running smoothly on a night when the first results were very slow to be announced. He was backed up by two of my favourite commentators on the Welsh political scene, Betsan Powys and Professor Laura McAllister, making BBC1 the channel I stayed tuned to for most of the night.

On BBC2 in Wales we had the UK-wide coverage presented by David Dimbleby. I flicked over to this occasionally and was impressed by the amount of coverage given to the Welsh Assembly and Scottish Parliament elections. I'm a big fan of Dimbleby usually but didn't feel he was at his peak last night.

On S4C, presenter Dewi Llwyd, a mainstay of political and current affairs programmes (he hosts Pawb a'i Farn, the Welsh-language version of Question Time) did his usual excellent job of presenting the election results for Welsh speakers, but somehow almost every time I switched over to S4C they were in the middle of an advert break (I will rant on some other time about my views on the crassness of English-language advertising intruding in the middle of Welsh-language programming).

As a Scot living in Wales, however, I found that the icing on the cake was the BBC's creative use of its Parliament channel (Freeview 81) to show the Scottish election results programme, presented by Sally Magnusson. On an extraordinarily successful night for the SNP (and a poor one for Plaid Cymru) it was fascinating to compare the results as they came in from Scotland and Wales.

It was also interesting to compare the Welsh, Scottish and UK-wide programmes in terms of their coverage of other regions. BBC1 in Wales quite rightly concentrated on Welsh results, but flashed up interesting results from Scotland every now and then (very often these were SNP gains!). BBC1 in Scotland, on the other hand, didn't appear to be aware of local elections in England, and I don't think I heard Wales mentioned once. The Dimbleby programme concentrated initially on councils in England but gave reasonable coverage to Wales and Scotland, focussing especially on the latter when it became clear that the most interesting results were emerging from there.

Northern Ireland and North Wales constituencies, quite understandably, received little or no coverage as there were no overnight vote counts taking place there.

The winner for me was the BBC1 Wales programme, and I was sorry when it came to an end at 5 a.m., just too soon for the announcement of the result in my own constituency. When that came, however, I was sorry to see that my voting record remains unblemished: no candidate I have voted for has ever been elected...

2011-05-05

Polling Day, Results Timetable, TV Coverage

The BBC news website has posted a useful timetable relating to today's vote and the estimated times at which we will learn the various results.
The AV result is not expected until 20:00 on Friday night. Results of the Welsh Assembly and Scottish Parliament elections are expected to come in from about 02:30 on Friday.

  • In England and Northern Ireland, BBC1 is showing its Vote 2011 coverage, hosted by David Dimbleby, from 23:35, following Question Time from London.
  • In Wales, BBC1 is showing Election 2011 - The Results from 22:35, presented by Jamie Owen with commentary by Betsan Powys and others. The UK-wide Vote 2011 programme will be shown from 23:35 on BBC2. S4C's Etholiad 2011, presented by Dewi Llwyd, starts at 22:00.
  • In Scotland, Sally Magnusson presents the Scottish Election results on BBC1 from 23:45 and BBC2 joins Vote 2011 from 00:20.
  • ITV appear to have no dedicated election coverage.

First (past the) post

Photo © nickj365
Voters across the UK go to the polls today to vote in a referendum on the future of the system by which MPs are elected to the UK Parliament. At the same time, voters in Wales will elect Members of the Welsh Assembly Government; those in Scotland will choose their representatives in the Scottish Parliament; there are local elections in 279 local authorities in England; and in Northern Ireland there are elections for the Northern Ireland Assembly and local elections (the BBC news website has a full list).

The election which has attracted most attention in the media is the UK-wide referendum on electoral reform, where we are being asked to choose between 'First Past the Post' (the existing system) and a new (to us) system known as Alternative Vote (AV), which (at least in theory) is a better representation of the intentions of voters. Despite a series of informational leaflets issued by the Electoral Commission, there is still widespread lack of knowledge of the Alternative Vote system, not helped by the scaremongering tactics of some supporters of the 'No' campaign.

Here are some annotated links to resources of interest, some factual, some entertaining. 

  • Johann Hari: If you get the X Factor you'll get AV
    Independent columnist Johann Hari uses an analogy with The X-Factor to criticise the claims of some in the 'No' camp that AV is too complicated. Well written and entertaining - I particularly enjoyed the bit about the Mars bar and the Twix!
  • Electoral Reform Society: Overview of AV and of other voting systems
    Useful if, like me, you haven't got your head round AV and why it is better/worse than other options. Also helpful if you live in one of the devolved nations and have one system for your local assembly/parliament, another for Westminster elections and today are voting on replacing that with a third system! (The Welsh Assembly, the Scottish Parliament and the Greater London Assembly, as well as the German Bundestag, use AMS (Additional Member System, also known as Mixed Member Proportional); the Northern Ireland Assembly uses STV (Single Transferable Vote).
  • BBC News guide to AV
    Includes yet another graphic showing what happens under AV until one candidate gets 50% or more of the vote. Also includes a useful guide to where the parties stand on AV.
  • The Guardian guide to AV
    Lots of information, including an 'interactive guide', who supports which side, and the latest news.
  • Young Voters' Question Time (via BBC iPlayer, till 10 May)
    Version of Question Time for young voters. The second half is dedicated to a discussion of the AV referendum. Chair Richard Bacon seems to have difficulty in remaining impartial, and at times struggles to manage the panellists. Overall a slightly disappointing programme with some enlightening and entertaining moments.
  • Stephen Fry on why you should vote Yes
    Fry articulate as ever and backed up by some fancy graphics, though unfortunately coming across as slightly patronising in this one.
  • Let's AV a Beer
    FPTP gives you coffee when 70% of you would rather go down the pub.
  • Is your cat confused about the referendum on 5th May?
    Entertaining YouTube video explaining AV in terms of "cat" and "dog" votes.